Andrew Howells examines the reasons why Pep should spend his sabbatical season under the strong stewardship of the sublime, Sir Fergie.
Well respected football writer, Oliver Holt, believes that Josep 'Pep' Guardiola has stuck faithfully to a philosophy of playing beautiful football at Barcelona, stands for something more than simply triumph and because of this, is wanted by every football club in the world.
I disagree, and in my opinion, Guardiola still has a lot to learn to be a legitimately world-class leader. So, let’s examine the reasons why Pep should spend his sabbatical season, if he does take one, under the strong stewardship of the sublime, Sir Fergie.
Reason one: the three year cycle
Jonathan Wills,in his blog, quotes the great Hungarian coach,Bela Guttmann, as once saying: "The third year is fatal. If a manager stays at a club more than that, his players tend to become bored and complacent and opponents start to work out counter-strategies. There are occasional exceptions, especially in weaker leagues, but at the highest level it seems to hold true that great teams last a maximum of three years.”
Jonathan states that Guttmann's solution was to keep moving, collecting bigger and bigger signing-on bonuses, never hanging around long enough for entropy to set in - a sort of Mourinho of his day. Another solution of course, is for the manager to stay put and for the players to change, which is the sustainably superior strategy Sir Alex Ferguson has endlessly employed extremely successfully, time and time again, in his 25 years at Manchester United.
Guardiola is a lovingly loyal man and not someone who would want to continually change clubs every three years. Pep has chosen to move on from Barca, but it is clear he is not motivated by signing on bonuses – he is simply keen to learn and develop as a manager, and is looking to do this over the course of next season.
One skill then that he must acquire: to recognise when there is a need to re-build and find the ruthless streak, strength and staying power to do it. This will enable him to emulate Ferguson's loyalty, leadership and long-term success - and who better to learn these skills from than the great man himself.
Reason two: always have a back-up plan
Fergie’s teams, as well as playing attacking, attractive football, would take a win playing badly over playing pretty football and losing; Fergie is never afraid to change his tactics if he needs to in order to win; and he always has a plan B. These are traits that, arguably, as David Pleat points out in hisblog,Barca lack under Guardiola.
A directness and sense of urgency is what was lacking from Barca’s recent performances against Madrid and Chelsea, and it was evident in all these big games that they did not benefit from stubbornly sticking to playing to Guardiola’s ideal of beautiful football – just look how Torres rubbed it in!
Fergie can show Pep that he can play his beautiful brand of brilliant football, but that to be a top manager, he needs to compromise at times on his principles.
During United famous 2-1 Champions League win over Munich in 1999, Ferguson threw the kitchen sink at Bayern – United abandoned their passing style for long balls into the box – and it worked. Pep in contrast, with his team needing a goal to go through to the final against Chelsea, in Camp Nou, decided to continue his passing football. As a consequence of trying to pass it into the net until the end, Barca failed to do so and crashed out.
David Pleat, summaries perfectly: "Having the ball for 70% of the game is a futile statistic if you lose sight of your purpose in the last 40 yards."
Fergie will be able to teach Guardiola that some situations call for only one football principle – winning by any means, way or style of play.
Reason three: mutual benefits
If the 'noisey neighbours' win the title then Ferguson will not walk away from the game - and if even United do retain their status as the superior side in English football, there’s still this season’s failings in Europe to address. This is why Guardiola coming to United, not as manager, but as Sir Alex’s assistant, to be groomed to be his replacement for the 2013/14 season, makes supreme sense.
It would give Fergie another experienced coach to bounce ideas off, particularly when it came to Europe - an area United have not looked as assured in since Carlos Queiroz left.
Further, if United do end the season trophy-less, they will need to attract big names on and off the pitch in order to keep the likes of Rooney, who threatened to leave in the summer, at the club.
And for Guardiola, a culture man who likes to study and learn, it would provide a great platform to get to know the club, team and Premier League. Remember that before becoming Barcelona's manager, Pep coached their B team for a year, learning about many of the players he has now brought through to the first team, and he was also a player at Barca and knew the set up, the history and ethos of the club well.
Sir Alex realises that at the age of 70, he needs to plan for United’s future, and what better way than replacing himself with someone who could potentially become the best coach on the planet, as well as allowing himself one final swan song.
Conclusion: the ultimate manager?
With the added ingredients of being able to win at any cost, the ability to re-build a team and the experience of spending a year getting to know the United set-up, Pep would surely not only become the ultimate manager, but ensure United remain the ultimate team for another 25 years. What do you think?